Dreamscythe Alliance

Median 3-day move

Observed short-term repricing across the latest item feature set.

Median price volatility

Higher values mean less certainty and more need to check repeat snapshots.

Confidence posture

Conclusions distinguish observed data, inference, speculation, and scored prior outcomes.

Yesterday

Not enough data for this section yet.

Last 7 Days

Not enough data for this section yet.

Hidden Opportunities

• ShadowclothStrong Buy | profit 9g 98s | confidence Low 41%
• Vakkiz's ScaleStrong Buy | profit 5g 94s | confidence Medium 65%
• Tourmaline LoopStrong Buy | profit 3g 43s | confidence Medium 68%
• Gezzarak's ClawsStrong Buy | profit 2g 89s | confidence Low 39%
• Arcane TomeStrong Buy | profit 2g 81s | confidence Low 40%
• Akkarai's TalonsStrong Buy | profit 7g 74s | confidence Medium 73%
• Tome of Conjure FoodStrong Buy | profit 2g 34s | confidence Low 36%
• Amber BandStrong Buy | profit 2g 35s | confidence Medium 53%

Supply Shifts

Not enough data for this section yet.

Unusual Activity

• Sharp Arrowprice 9g 55s | move +3184900.0% | sold/day 721.3
• Impact Shotprice 4g 95s | move +123897.5% | sold/day 186.3
• Shellfishprice 1g 0s | move +19900.0% | sold/day 51.8
• Razor Arrowprice 1s 99c | move +9850.0% | sold/day 1,413.4
• Yellow Power Crystalprice 1g 53s | move +5241.7% | sold/day 266.1
• Dark Leather Glovesprice 28g 49s | move +4284.6% | sold/day 11.0
• Coarse Threadprice 54s 85c | move +4185.2% | sold/day 175.2
• Raw Slitherskin Mackerelprice 70c | move +3400.0% | sold/day 27.4

Shortage Watch

• Bloodthistlesupply 0 | sold/day 84.9 | change -
• Auchenai Mana Potionsupply 0 | sold/day 63.0 | change -
• Scroll of Strength IIsupply 0 | sold/day 26.5 | change -
• Simple Floursupply 0 | sold/day 23.1 | change -
• Cooked Glossy Mightfishsupply 0 | sold/day 18.1 | change -
• Tasty Lion Steaksupply 0 | sold/day 17.2 | change -
• Essence of Agonysupply 0 | sold/day 16.9 | change -
• Lean Wolf Steaksupply 0 | sold/day 13.9 | change -

What The AI Learned

• This analysis stores its market calls and checks them against later snapshots, so future confidence can be adjusted by observed signal reliability. Reports are published transparently so users can evaluate the reasoning and outcomes over time.
• The feedback loop has evaluated 21 previous market calls for this realm/faction; observed hit rate is 90%.
• Large short-term movers are being treated as investigation targets first, not automatic buys, because Phase 2 launch activity can include both real demand and stockpiler unloading.
• Opportunity scoring is most reliable when high profit is supported by sold/day and enough auctions to avoid one-listing bait.
• High-value, high-volume staple markets are tracked even when they are not discounted, because steady sold/day can matter as much as a one-off bargain.
• The model lowers confidence where stack-level behavior, cancellations, relists, or unknown external events could explain the observed move.

Prediction Feedback

21 previous calls scored. Overall observed hit rate: 90%.

• Anomaly21 scored | hit rate 90%
• Junk7 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Crafted items5 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Raw materials4 category calls scored | hit rate 75%
• Consumables2 category calls scored | hit rate 100%
• Enchanting materials1 category calls scored | hit rate 0%
• Other1 category calls scored | hit rate 100%

Known Limits

• Data is regional-demand informed and auction-house snapshot based; it is not perfect individual realm/player truth.
• The system cannot identify individual sellers or buyers.
• The system cannot see stack sizes, cancellations, relisting behaviour, expired auctions, or player-submitted reports.
• External in-game event visibility is incomplete, so some market movement may be caused by unknown factors.
• Confidence is reduced when a market has thin history, low sold/day, low auction count, or extreme one-listing price moves.
• Very low-price items below 10c are ignored unless sold/day is high enough to show real bulk demand.